BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Alabama St

Class: 1B Class Rank: 87 Conference: Southwestern Athletic Conference Record: (4-3) Overall: (5-6) Overall Strength =  118.80

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/29/2019 Away    L   142.10  19  24   1A 104 (  9-  5) Alabama-Birmingham     22.92    -27.92                      
  2 09/07/2019 Home    W   105.02  38  31    2 113 (  5-  5) Tuskegee              -14.17     21.17                      
  3 09/14/2019 Home    L   101.54   7  42   1B  20 ( 11-  3) Kennesaw St           -17.64    -17.36                      
  4 09/21/2019 Home    W * 132.09  23  20   1B  49 (  6-  5) Grambling St           12.91     -9.91                      
  5 10/05/2019 Home    L * 104.41   7  35   1B  36 (  9-  4) Alcorn St             -14.77    -13.23                      
  6 10/12/2019 Away    W * 128.03  31  16   1B 108 (  4-  8) Jackson St              8.85      6.15                      
  7 10/26/2019 Neutral L * 112.93  41  43   1B 105 (  7-  5) Alabama A&M            -6.25      4.25                      
  8 11/02/2019 Away    W * 131.01  27   0   1B 120 (  2-  9) Mississippi Valley S   11.82     15.18                      
  9 11/09/2019 Away    W * 109.96  27  21   1B 116 (  0- 11) Texas Southern         -9.22     15.22                      
 10 11/16/2019 Away    L   123.03  12  49   1A  57 (  6-  7) Florida St              3.85 *  -40.85                      
 11 11/28/2019 Home    L * 120.87  17  20   1B  60 (  6-  5) Prairie View A&M        1.69     -4.69                      
      Averages             119.18  22.6 27.4

Best game:  142.10 = 5 point loss to Alabama-Birmingham
Worst game: 101.54 = 35 point loss to Kennesaw St
Team stdev:  13.35